DangleData

Player prop hit rates

How often each NHL player has cleared today's line over their last 10 games

Updated Nov 2, 6:16 PM ET · no lines yet · 4 games today

Pick of the day

Monday, Nov 2 · NHL
Record shows after 20 graded picks · 2 so far
Alt linestrong
Joel Farabee
CGY · L · @ SJS · Today 9:10 PM
Over
1.5
shots · book 2.5
O −190
  • Trend8 of last 10 over 1.5 · 4 of last 5 · median 2.5 shots (+3 cushion)
  • MatchupSJS allow 31.0 shots allowed/g, 31st most of 32 +5
  • HistoryNo games vs SJS in the log, not counted
  • PriceModel 77% · book 62% · +16 edge
Book linestrong
Artturi Lehkonen
COL · L · @ CHI · Today 8:10 PM
Over
0.5
points
O −145
  • Trend9 of last 10 over 0.5 · 5 of last 5 · median 1 points (no cushion)
  • MatchupCHI allow 3.8 goals allowed/g, 30th most of 32 +4
  • HistoryNo games vs CHI in the log, not counted
  • PriceModel 83% · book 55% · +28 edge
Alt linelean
Sam Bennett
FLA · C · vs DET · Today 7:10 PM
Over
1.5
shots · book 2.5
O −195
  • Trend8 of last 10 over 1.5 · 5 of last 5 · median 2 shots (no cushion)
  • MatchupDET allow 24.4 shots allowed/g, 4th most of 32 −4
  • HistoryNo games vs DET in the log, not counted
  • PriceModel 70% · book 66% · +4 edge
Built from the last 10 games, the opponent's allowed rate, head-to-head history and the posted price. Hit rates describe the past, not the future.How picks are made
Stat
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Artturi Lehkonen
COL · L
90%
9 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -145U +105
Mitch Marner
VGK · R
90%
9 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -205U +150
Matthew Tkachuk
FLA · L
80%
8 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -225U +165
David Pastrnak
BOS · R
80%
8 of last 10
Line
1.5
points
O +150U -205
Seth Jones
FLA · D
80%
8 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -145U +110
Connor Bedard
CHI · C
88%
7 of last 8
Line
0.5
points
O -215U +160
Nathan MacKinnon
COL · C
70%
7 of last 10
Line
1.5
points
O +110U -155
Martin Necas
COL · C
70%
7 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -240U +175
Mark Stone
VGK · R
70%
7 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -185U +135
Brady Tkachuk
FLA · L
70%
7 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -180U +130
Joel Farabee
CGY · L
70%
7 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -140U +105
Matt Coronato
CGY · R
70%
7 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -155U +115
Devon Toews
COL · D
70%
7 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O +110U -150
Sam Reinhart
FLA · C
70%
7 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -215U +155
Elias Lindholm
BOS · C
70%
7 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -115U -115
Emmitt Finnie
DET · C
70%
7 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -105U -130
Patrick Kane
CHI · R
70%
7 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -125U -105
Pavel Zacha
BOS · C
70%
7 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -150U +110
Alex DeBrincat
DET · R
60%
6 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -185U +140
Carter Verhaeghe
FLA · C
60%
6 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -160U +115
JJ Peterka
BOS · R
60%
6 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -105U -125
James Hagens
BOS · C
60%
6 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O +115U -160
Nazem Kadri
COL · C
60%
6 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -125U -110
Will Smith
SJS · C
60%
6 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -160U +115
Morgan Frost
CGY · C
60%
6 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -120U -115
Kiefer Sherwood
SJS · L
60%
6 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O +125U -170
Roman Kantserov
CHI · R
60%
6 of last 10
Line
0.5
points
O -105U -125
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Today's NHL games

  • Boston Bruins vs Vegas Golden Knights Mon, Nov 2, 7:10 PM EST
  • Florida Panthers vs Detroit Red Wings Mon, Nov 2, 7:10 PM EST
  • Chicago Blackhawks vs Colorado Avalanche Mon, Nov 2, 8:10 PM EST
  • San Jose Sharks vs Calgary Flames Mon, Nov 2, 9:10 PM EST

Player prop lines for these games are loaded each morning and again about an hour before the first puck drop.

Hottest last 10 games (2026-27)

Points over 0.5

PlayerTeamL10P
Connor McDavid EDM 100% (10/10) 39
Leon Draisaitl EDM 90% (9/10) 28
Evan Bouchard EDM 90% (9/10) 26
Kirill Kaprizov MIN 90% (9/10) 25
Drake Batherson OTT 90% (9/10) 18
Artturi Lehkonen COL 90% (9/10) 17
Mikhail Sergachev UTA 90% (9/10) 17
Mitch Marner VGK 90% (9/10) 15
Auston Matthews TOR 80% (8/10) 24
Quinn Hughes MIN 80% (8/10) 21

Shots over 2.5

PlayerTeamL10SOG
Kirill Kaprizov MIN 80% (8/10) 53
David Pastrnak BOS 80% (8/10) 50
Brandon Hagel TBL 80% (8/10) 58
Alex DeBrincat DET 80% (8/10) 51
Logan Stankoven CAR 80% (8/10) 49
Joel Eriksson Ek MIN 80% (8/10) 54
Matt Boldy MIN 80% (8/10) 68
Jason Robertson DAL 80% (8/10) 44
Artemi Panarin LAK 80% (8/10) 42
Will Smith SJS 80% (8/10) 41

Saves over 27.5

PlayerTeamL10SV
Leevi Merilainen VAN 50% (5/10) 280
Juuse Saros NSH 50% (5/10) 276
Sergei Bobrovsky TOR 50% (5/10) 255
Darcy Kuemper LAK 50% (4/8) 194
Yaroslav Askarov SJS 44% (4/9) 244
Spencer Knight CHI 40% (4/10) 305
Jeremy Swayman BOS 40% (4/10) 271
Joel Hofer STL 40% (4/10) 262
Jacob Fowler MTL 38% (3/8) 205
Dan Vladar PHI 38% (3/8) 201

How to read a hit rate

A hit rate is the share of a player's recent games in which they finished over a given line. If Connor McDavid has cleared 0.5 points in 8 of his last 10 games, his hit rate against that line is 80%. The dashboard defaults to each player's main sportsbook line and the last 10 regular-season games; the line filter lets you compare alternates.

Hit rates are descriptive, not predictive: they tell you what happened, not what will. Use them alongside matchup context such as opponent shot volume, which we show in each player's game log. Read more in How It Works.

Not affiliated with the NHL, NFL, NBA, NCAA or any sportsbook. 21+ where applicable. Please gamble responsibly.

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